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Tis the Season for Wall Street Forecasting IX

“We consistently err in relying on bad forecasts to make judgements about the future, with the biggest error being our belief we could make accurate forecasts to begin with.” – Dan Rasmussen, author of The Humble Investor Christmas music, Amazon...
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  • Investing
  • Retirement
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  • Market Commentary

How to Drive your Retirement Portfolio into the Ground

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How to Drive your Retirement Portfolio into the Ground

“Invert, always invert.” – Charlie Munger, the Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett’s partner. Long-term investing is boring. Markets take time, discipline is hard,…
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The Dog That Didn’t Bark

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The Dog That Didn’t Bark

“Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” – Peter…
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Bear Market Feedback is Gold

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Bear Market Feedback is Gold

“Investors’ mental models tend to be simple, based on recent history, an extrapolation of trends, and an overreliance on frameworks that worked recently.” – Dan…
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The World’s Worst Investor

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The World’s Worst Investor

“Humans have something weird in their DNA which prohibits them from adopting good ideas easily.” – William Green, Richer, Wiser, Happier Sally is a nervous…
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A Simple Case for Gold and Bitcoin

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A Simple Case for Gold and Bitcoin

“The debt is not going to be balanced. The annual deficit seems to be getting worse and worse. And if the dollar is going to…
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International Diversification: Looking Beyond the S&P 500

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International Diversification: Looking Beyond the S&P 500

“Valuation changes rewarding cheap stocks and punishing expensive ones is one of the most powerfully recurring features of global equity markets.” – Dan Rasmussen, The…
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Turn Off the TV

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Turn Off the TV

“Our obsession with being informed makes it hard to think long-term. We spend hours consuming news because we want to be informed. The problem is,…
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Does it Still Make Sense to Own Bonds?

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Does it Still Make Sense to Own Bonds?

“Bonds as an asset class will always be needed, not just by insurance companies and pension funds, but by aging boomers.” – Bill Gross, retired…
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Closest Thing to a Fat Pitch in Investing

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Closest Thing to a Fat Pitch in Investing

“Interest rates go up and down, stock markets boom and bust, but human psychology never changes. I believe that studying how people think about and…
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