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What Are Reasonable Return Expectations?

“Reality will pay you back in equal proportion to your delusion.” - Will Smith, actor & musician Stanley Druckenmiller is one of the most successful investors of his generation. During his time running Duquesne Capital (1981 – 2010), he never...
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Consumer Sentiment and S&P Returns

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Consumer Sentiment and S&P Returns

“There is a very thin line between confidence and arrogance.” – Adam Peaty, Olympic swimmer What comes first, confidence or success? It’s a question I’ve…
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The Danger of Recency Bias in Investment Decisions

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The Danger of Recency Bias in Investment Decisions

“Why would I own anything other than the S&P 500?” “I’m thinking of putting my entire retirement nest egg in the S&P 500 and calling…
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Let’s Freak Out About the Election (Seriously)

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Let’s Freak Out About the Election (Seriously)

We have penned blog after blog how elections are a non-event in the grand scheme of your investment portfolio. We recorded a video outlining every…
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What’s NOT Going to Change in 10 years?

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What’s NOT Going to Change in 10 years?

“When you have something that you know is true, even over the long term, you can afford to put a lot of energy into it.”…
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This Market Signal is Flashing Red

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This Market Signal is Flashing Red

“If the average investor allocation to equities is abnormally high, then prices are probably abnormally high–the market’s probably expensive.” – Jesse Livermore, famous investor Let’s…
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Rate Cuts and Stock Returns

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Rate Cuts and Stock Returns

“Whoever controls the volume of money in any country is absolute master of all industry and commerce.” – James A. Garfield, 20th President of the…
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Characteristics of a Bull Market

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Characteristics of a Bull Market

“Bull markets ignore bad news, and any good news is reason for a further rally.” – Colm O’Shea, professor at New York University The latest…
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Market Correction Reflection

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Market Correction Reflection

“The purpose of volatility is to make people make stupid decisions.” – Jared Dillion, The Daily Dirt Nap Yen carry trade Weak jobs report Fed…
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Picking Individual Stocks is Hard

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Picking Individual Stocks is Hard

“Owning individual stocks invites infinitely more behavioral hurdles than a simpler strategy. It’s easier to ignore index funds and ETFs. You can’t ignore individual stocks.”…
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