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Bear Market Feedback is Gold

“Investors’ mental models tend to be simple, based on recent history, an extrapolation of trends, and an overreliance on frameworks that worked recently.” – Dan Rasmussen, The Humble Investor Most people set goals with a desired outcome in mind. Getting...
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The Longest Drawdown in Recent History

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The Longest Drawdown in Recent History

“Bonds as an asset class will always be needed, not just by insurance companies and pension funds, but aging boomers.” – Bill Gross, PIMCO founder…
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Principled Investing

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Principled Investing

“The dead outnumber the living fourteen to one, and we ignore the accumulated experience of such a huge majority of mankind at our peril.” —Niall Ferguson,…
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The Benchmark Fallacy

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The Benchmark Fallacy

“The highest form of wealth is the ability to wake up every morning and say: ‘I can do whatever I want today.” — Morgan Housel,…
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Markets After Major Geopolitical Events

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Markets After Major Geopolitical Events

“The world changes. This is the biggest problem in markets.” – Bill Miller, former chairmen of Legg Mason Capital Management T. Rowe Price, founder of…
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Hot Themes and Future Returns

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Hot Themes and Future Returns

“I didn’t learn anything. I already knew I wasn’t supposed to do that.” – Stanley Drunkenmiller, after losing $3 billion dollars on tech stocks. The…
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Can the Market Predict the Next President?

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Can the Market Predict the Next President?

“If you mix your politics with your investment decisions, you’re making a big mistake.” – Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway It is not a secret 2024…
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Estimating Future Equity Returns

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Estimating Future Equity Returns

“We deceive ourselves when we believe that past stock market return patterns provide the bounds by which we can predict the future.” – John Bogle,…
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Is There Such a Thing as “Safe” Stocks?

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Is There Such a Thing as “Safe” Stocks?

“People want to believe that this time is different, that there’s something new under the sun, and through their own ingenuity they can wish risk…
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Bitcoin: Understanding the Digital Asset

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Bitcoin: Understanding the Digital Asset

“You can’t stop things like Bitcoin. It will be everywhere, and the world will have to re-adjust. World governments will have to re-adjust.” —John McAfee,…
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