“Oh, Monte Carlo, I’ve done that. It’s worthless!” “This simulation is the greatest thing ever!” “I don’t know what I’m going to do. I’m waiting…
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Monte Carlo Analysis: Worthless or Worthwhile?
The Dog That Didn’t Bark
“Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” – Peter Lynch, former manager of Fidelity Magellan Fund The act of trying to time or prepare...
read moreIs Your Portfolio Drunk or Sober?
“Take calculated risks. That is quite different from being rash.” – George S. Patton Let’s say I’m invited over to your house for dinner. We…
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The Blue Wave and Stock Returns
““We are beginning to see trends that people tend to fear what they are exposed to in the media. Many of the top 10 fears…
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Getting a Fat Pitch and Not Swinging
“Amateurs think the world should work the way they want it to. Professionals realize that they have to work with the world as they find…
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What is Your “Enough?”
“Mo money, mo problems.” – Notorious B.I.G Unless your name is Jeff Bezos, most of us will never be the richest person on the planet….
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Investing in a 0% World
“Zero rates aren’t a new normal; they’re just normal in Japan.” – Verdad Capital That didn’t last long. After four years of “normalizing” rates from…
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Good from Far, but Far from Good
“It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very…
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Scratching Your Degenerate Itch
“Bad bets sometimes pay off.” – Marty Rubin, Canadian Author There’s been a stir in financial media about Robinhood traders bidding up bankrupt companies to…
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Investing Cash in a Runaway Market
“Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” – Peter…
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