Is the 4% Rule Dead?
Mental shortcuts or heuristics are used to make quick decisions, either because of time constraints or to simplify a complex problem. The further away a…
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A Simple Case for Gold and Bitcoin
“The debt is not going to be balanced. The annual deficit seems to be getting worse and worse. And if the dollar is going to be debased, then bitcoin is going to keep going up.” – Anthony Pompliano, The Pomp...
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Is Inflation Coming?
The health and wellness gurus will tell you that they meditate for two hours, exercise, and eat egg whites all before 6am. I check my…
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Monte Carlo Analysis: Worthless or Worthwhile?
“Oh, Monte Carlo, I’ve done that. It’s worthless!” “This simulation is the greatest thing ever!” “I don’t know what I’m going to do. I’m waiting…
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Is Your Portfolio Drunk or Sober?
“Take calculated risks. That is quite different from being rash.” – George S. Patton Let’s say I’m invited over to your house for dinner. We…
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The Blue Wave and Stock Returns
““We are beginning to see trends that people tend to fear what they are exposed to in the media. Many of the top 10 fears…
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Getting a Fat Pitch and Not Swinging
“Amateurs think the world should work the way they want it to. Professionals realize that they have to work with the world as they find…
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What is Your “Enough?”
“Mo money, mo problems.” – Notorious B.I.G Unless your name is Jeff Bezos, most of us will never be the richest person on the planet….
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Investing in a 0% World
“Zero rates aren’t a new normal; they’re just normal in Japan.” – Verdad Capital That didn’t last long. After four years of “normalizing” rates from…
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Good from Far, but Far from Good
“It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very…
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