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Bear Market Feedback is Gold

“Investors’ mental models tend to be simple, based on recent history, an extrapolation of trends, and an overreliance on frameworks that worked recently.” – Dan Rasmussen, The Humble Investor Most people set goals with a desired outcome in mind. Getting...
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  • Market Commentary

Investment Royalty to Punching Bag

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Investment Royalty to Punching Bag

“Cathie Wood’s stubborn reluctance to accept reality is starting to look less and less like an investment advisor and more like me betting the midnight…
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Fighting the Market-Timing Urge

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Fighting the Market-Timing Urge

“If a topic makes someone feel emotional, they will rarely be interested in the data. This is why emotions can be such a threat to…
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Market Sell-Off: The Good & Bad

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Market Sell-Off: The Good & Bad

“Everything feels unprecedented when you haven’t engaged with history.” – Kelly Hayes, author The daily flow of negative headlines, market losses, and dire predictions can…
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Sell in May and Enjoy the Day?

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Sell in May and Enjoy the Day?

“In real-time, every crisis feels like the worst thing ever. In hindsight, every crisis is an obvious buying opportunity.” – Morgan Housel, author This isn’t…
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What Does Peak Inflation Look Like?

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What Does Peak Inflation Look Like?

“Every administration thought they had power to end inflation but they really didn’t. I think now you can see that same sense of overconfidence in…
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Does it Still Make Sense to Own Bonds?

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Does it Still Make Sense to Own Bonds?

White-hot inflation. Rising interest rates. Tanking bond prices. The popular consensus is that investors should abandon their bond allocation. It’s a tidy narrative but deserves…
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What’s the Bullish Case for Stocks?

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What’s the Bullish Case for Stocks?

“Tell someone that everything will be ok and they’ll shrug you off. Tell someone they’re in danger and they’ll hang on your every word.” Morgan…
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What Are the Odds of a U.S. Recession?

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What Are the Odds of a U.S. Recession?

“Being scared of everything is a symptom of being addicted to comfort.” – Orange Book, @orangebook on Twitter Post World War II, the U.S. has…
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Checking Up on Pandemic Darlings

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Checking Up on Pandemic Darlings

“What a year this week has been.” – unknown A handful of stocks couldn’t miss. The pandemic changed the way we did everything overnight. Obscure…
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