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Recession Signals that are Flashing Red

“There are decades when nothing happens, and weeks when decades happen.” – Uday Kotak, founder of Kotak Mahindra Bank The gap between how people are feeling about the economy and what’s happening is bigger than the Grand Canyon. The soft...
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Falling Inflation and Stock Returns

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Falling Inflation and Stock Returns

“The complaints about how sticky inflation has been nearly matches the claims that it was transitory back in 2021.” – Bespoke Investment Group On November…
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The U.S. Debt Ceiling

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The U.S. Debt Ceiling

“I think it’s ridiculous – it’s always resolved, not that it’s a 100% chance, but I think it gets resolved.” – Bill Gross, Pimco co-founder…
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Market Expectations are Everything

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Market Expectations are Everything

“The past wasn’t as good as you remember. The present isn’t as bad as you think. The future will be better than you anticipate.” Morgan…
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The Demise of King Dollar

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The Demise of King Dollar

“People talk about this concept like foreign countries can just choose not to do business with the U.S. Dollar. Sure, they can. In doing so,…
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Back to Back Calendar Year Losses for Stocks

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Back to Back Calendar Year Losses for Stocks

“In my experience, most people who are lucky enough to sell something before it goes down get so busy patting themselves on the back, they…
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The Market is Quietly Stacking Up Wins

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The Market is Quietly Stacking Up Wins

“It’s just that most people see what they want to see. We pride ourselves on living in reality.” – J.C. Parets, All-Star Charts, on the…
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Bond Returns Following Difficult Years

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Bond Returns Following Difficult Years

“It’s not that I’m so smart; it’s just that I stay with problems longer.” – Albert Einstein Bonds could use a public relations makeover. The…
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Not a Typical Bank Failure

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Not a Typical Bank Failure

“This isn’t just one stupid bank making bad decisions. This is a real economic problem where the clients at Silicon Valley Bank were burning money…
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The Biggest Heist No One is Talking About

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The Biggest Heist No One is Talking About

“Banks do not create money for the public good. They are businesses owned by shareholders. Their purpose is to make a profit.” – John Rogers,…
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