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Recession Signals that are Flashing Red

“There are decades when nothing happens, and weeks when decades happen.” – Uday Kotak, founder of Kotak Mahindra Bank The gap between how people are feeling about the economy and what’s happening is bigger than the Grand Canyon. The soft...
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  • Market Commentary

Mid-Terms and Markets

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Mid-Terms and Markets

“Historically, investors overestimate the impact of political parties, Presidents, and legislation. Even if one was to correctly forecast a political outcome, markets seldom react in…
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When the Fed Pivots

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When the Fed Pivots

“History never repeats itself, but it does often rhyme.” – Mark Twain There have been 85 cycles where the Fed has increased interest rates since…
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Silver Linings in a Dismal Year

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Silver Linings in a Dismal Year

“It’s not just good news that causes bear markets to end, but better-than-expected news that is simply less bad.” – Ben Carlson, Wealth of Common…
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Surprised by Surprises

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Surprised by Surprises

“The correct lesson to learn from surprises is that the world is surprising.” – Morgan Housel, The Collaborative Fund Unprecedented. Extraordinary. Unexpected. Once in a…
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Year of the 180

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Year of the 180

“Most investors tend to project near-term trends – both favorable and adverse indefinitely into the future.” – Seth Klarman, famous investor Let’s go back to…
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The Market Could Be Wrong About Inflation

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The Market Could Be Wrong About Inflation

“I don’t mind going back to daylight savings time. With inflation, the hour will be the only thing I’ve saved all year.” – Victor Borge,…
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Fighting the Urge to Throw in the Towel

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Fighting the Urge to Throw in the Towel

“If a topic makes someone feel emotional, they will rarely be interested in the data. This is why emotions can be such a threat to…
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Where to Find Investment Income

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Where to Find Investment Income

“Big banks, highly leveraged casinos, do whatever they can to keep the cost of their gambling as cheap as possible.” – Max Keiser, American Journalist…
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Intra-Year Market Declines

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Intra-Year Market Declines

“The last leg of a bull market always ends in hysteria; the last leg of a bear market always ends in a panic.” – Jim…
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