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Bear Market Feedback is Gold

“Investors’ mental models tend to be simple, based on recent history, an extrapolation of trends, and an overreliance on frameworks that worked recently.” – Dan Rasmussen, The Humble Investor Most people set goals with a desired outcome in mind. Getting...
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Tis the Season for Wall Street Forecasting Pt. VI

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Tis the Season for Wall Street Forecasting Pt. VI

“There are two kinds of forecasters: those who don’t know, and those who don’t know they don’t know.” – John Kenneth Balbraith, economist Hot chocolate….
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Top 5 Pure Portfolios’ Blogs: Turkey Edition

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Top 5 Pure Portfolios’ Blogs: Turkey Edition

“Thanksgiving is a joyous invitation to shower the world with love and gratitude.” – Amy Leigh Mercree We take a break from our regular blog…
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Avoiding the Extremes

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Avoiding the Extremes

“You should obsess over risks that do permanent damage & care little about risks that do temporary harm, but the opposite is more common.” –…
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Mid-Terms and Markets

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Mid-Terms and Markets

“Historically, investors overestimate the impact of political parties, Presidents, and legislation. Even if one was to correctly forecast a political outcome, markets seldom react in…
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When the Fed Pivots

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When the Fed Pivots

“History never repeats itself, but it does often rhyme.” – Mark Twain There have been 85 cycles where the Fed has increased interest rates since…
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Silver Linings in a Dismal Year

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Silver Linings in a Dismal Year

“It’s not just good news that causes bear markets to end, but better-than-expected news that is simply less bad.” – Ben Carlson, Wealth of Common…
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Surprised by Surprises

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Surprised by Surprises

“The correct lesson to learn from surprises is that the world is surprising.” – Morgan Housel, The Collaborative Fund Unprecedented. Extraordinary. Unexpected. Once in a…
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Year of the 180

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Year of the 180

“Most investors tend to project near-term trends – both favorable and adverse indefinitely into the future.” – Seth Klarman, famous investor Let’s go back to…
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The Market Could Be Wrong About Inflation

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The Market Could Be Wrong About Inflation

“I don’t mind going back to daylight savings time. With inflation, the hour will be the only thing I’ve saved all year.” – Victor Borge,…
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