Tis the Season for Wall Street Forecasting
“It’s not easy to be as bad as they are. They are much worse than random chance alone would predict.” Salil Mehta, Statistical Ideas The annual…
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Recession Signals that are Flashing Red
“There are decades when nothing happens, and weeks when decades happen.” – Uday Kotak, founder of Kotak Mahindra Bank The gap between how people are feeling about the economy and what’s happening is bigger than the Grand Canyon. The soft...
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Introducing Everplans
“In a moment of crisis, the last thing a family should be doing is worrying or being hassled about paperwork. Everplans elegantly solves that problem.”–…
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Delusional Return Expectations
“Returns expectations are simply too high. It means that many will face a shortfall when they come to realize their investments in the future as…
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Forget the Fed. Focus on Coordinated Global Tightening
2017 has been a great year for investors. Global equities are higher. Volatility is non-existent. Heck, even left-for-dead fixed income has posted positive returns. However,…
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Signs of a Market Top? Valuation
We continue our series featuring data from VR Research on “characteristics of a market top.” The summary is broken down by corporate, valuation, economic, market,…
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Meet the Story-Based Advisor
We recently stumbled across a tongue and cheek article that decoded real estate agent listing language. For example, describing a property as “cozy” within a…
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Naked Performance
“I’ve been crushing it in the stock market this year. I’m up 45%.”– Random Dude How many times have you heard a family member, colleague,…
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Naked Performance
“I’ve been crushing it in the stock market this year. I’m up 45%.”– Random Dude How many times have you heard a family member, colleague,…
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Signs of a Market Top? Investor Sentiment
VR Research published a graphic on its Twitter account showing the characteristics of a “market top.” The summary is broken down by corporate, valuation, economic,…
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